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Oct 16, 2011

Too Much of a Good Thing -- High Stakes Test Analysis


Abstract:  I wrote this brief in response to the ridiculous amount of reading I had to do about data and high stakes testing analysis.  I short, I argue that data and test analysis is important, but it has become an obsession, and American school reform is reaping diminishing returns in regards, "...the amount of analysis put in verses what the analysis will actually give us, which I would argue is more of the same."
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In Murnane and Levy’s piece entitled Teaching the New Basic Skills, they point out a technique that companies, such as Honda and Mitsubishi, use to promote certain applicants to the next level of interviews.  Murnane and Levy write, “…once reading and math scores…are above a certain threshold, the soft skills – teamwork and communications skills – are the best predictors of performance.”  In other words, Murnane and Levy point out an important principle for vocational productivity: one must reach a certain threshold of performance in a skill set in order to perform, but anything above and beyond that threshold is not an indicator of performance.  Moreover, the more a person performs over the threshold in any expendable skill will lead to diminishing returns in regards to the amount invested in that expendable skill versus that lack of product the expendable skill will produce.

Malcolm Gladwell, in his book Outliers, writes about this same idea.  He tells the story of a researcher that followed a group of ‘geniuses’ from adolescence to adulthood, and what this researcher found illustrates Murnane and Levy’s point.  Although the group of geniuses had an IQ far greater than average man or woman, their accomplishments were marginal.  Some geniuses did succeed vocationally and became lawyers, doctors, and statesmen; however, other geniuses became janitors and bouncers.  Thus, this researcher determined that having a high IQ was not the golden ticket to vocational success that he anticipated.  Similar to Murnane and Levy’s argument, one only has to have a certain level of intelligence (ie. a threshold level) in order to succeed, and anything above that threshold has the potential to reap diminishing returns.

It is here that I make my first critical judgment of the current American educational obsession with data.  Data and high stakes testing are important.  Anne Lewis, in her Mid-Continent Research For Education and Learning policy brief, writes, “Even the severest critics of high-stakes testing acknowledge that assessments are necessary for a variety of purposes.”  This is a fact of life.  However, I would argue that we have pushed passed the threshold, and our obsession with high-stakes testing and data has – like an auto technician with a 145 IQ – resulted in diminishing returns.  In Boudett, City, and Murnane’s book Data Wise, they evidence the aforementioned idea clearly when they write 27 pages of assessment literacy that outlines the different forms of high stakes testing that currently exists – including norm-referenced tests, criterion-referenced tests, and standards-referenced tests among others.  Familiarity with these types of tests, their pros and cons is useful; nonetheless, I perceive an obsession, since there exists a superfluous cornucopia of various types of data collection.  Last year in April on the two Friday afternoons preceding North Carolina’s high-stakes test, the charter school where I previously worked dedicated 4 hours of PD to analyze the variability of individual students in regards to standards referenced tests.  Although this is only one isolated experience, it suggests something of the whole; namely that the American educational system is beyond the threshold of the utility for data and high stakes testing analysis.  Test and data analysis is only one body of evidence that can be used to support the coherence between the instructional core (ie. the relationship between the teacher, student, and content); yet it is the one element of evidence that overshadows all others in the current state of reform here in America.  In doing so, it reaps diminishing returns in terms of the amount of analysis put in verses what the analysis will actually give us, which I would argue is more of the same.


Boudett, K., City, E., and Murnane, R.  (2005) Data Wise:  A Step-byStep Guide for Using Assessment Results to Improve Learning.  Cambridge, MA:  Harvard Education Press.


Murnane, R. & Levy, F. (1996). Preparing to meet the future, Skills for middle-class wage, and Five principles for managing frontline workers. Chapters 1, 2, and 3 (pp. 1-10, 19-51, and 62-79) in Teaching the new basic skills. New York: The Free Press.


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